China currently depends almost entirely on domestically grown food. This project uses an integrated agricultural-hydrologic model to examine the connections between natural resources (land and water) and food production in China. Previous work has quantified these connections for present climate conditions. The new project will examine the implications of climate change, including both long-term regional trends and inter-annual variability in precipitation and temperature. This project has significant public policy implications but is primarily focused on better understanding relevant hydrologic factors.