Regional climate Simulations

The 2007 IPCC ( Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change) Report on future climate scenarios focused on global coupled models climate simulations and projections of global climate properties, such as the average global air temperature increase, the average global sea level rising etc. The focus in the climate research community has now shifted to regional simulations and the prediction of regional climates, a much more formidable task in view of the complexity of different regions and of their differences. However regional simulations on time scales shorter than a century, i.e. over a few decades, are now of priority because of the imperative need of adaptation/mitigation measures that must be undertaken by the various nations. One such region is the SCS and its riparian countries which comprise Singapore where a regional climate initiative has recently started in the context of the SMART ( Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology) project. The initiative capitalizes upon carrying out regional climate projections coupling two regional models, the atmospheric model RegCM3 developed by Prof. Eltahir and his group and the ocean model FVCOM . The coupling has been made and long coupled simulations are presently been carried out. Future climate projections will use the methodology developed for the MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) of the MIT program for the Science and Policy of Global Change based on the use of probability distribution functions.

The industrial conglomerate Consorzio Venezia Nuova has been charged by the Italian government with developing the engineering project and constructing the system of movable gates which will allow to protect the city of Venice from been flooded by the Adriatic sea. These floods , which have dramatically increased in frequency during the last decade, are not only responsible for submerging different parts of the city depending on their intensity. They also destroy priceless historical artifacts stored in museum basements, the palaces and houses walls submerged by the salty lagoon water and they paralyze the entire city life thus adversely affecting tourism which is the main economic resource. The phenomenon of “high water” is due to the storm surges of the Adriatic sea, the same oceanographic phenomenon of the North Sea periodically flooding London. An elaborate, 5 $ billion system of gates is now been built for the three inlets connecting the Venice lagoon with the open Adriatic sea. The works were started in 2004 and the gates are expected to be operational by 2014. The systems consists of mobile barriers that temporarily separate the lagoon from the Adriatic. They are being constructed at the lagoon inlets of Lido, Malamocco and Chioggia, the three openings in the system of islands surrounding the lagoon and through which tides propagate. In normal conditions the gates’ caissons ( pontoons ) are submerged and completely invisible. During floods, the caissons fill with air and are raised up like fans thus effectively separating the lagoon from the open sea and preventing the tide from entering.